It does not mean, however, that the positive trend is irreversible. The threat of Covid-19 will still remain unless a vaccine is widely available. A province or LGU is considered “low risk” if the number of new Covid-19 cases per day is less than 1 per million of population. Acronyms and portmanteaus are popular in the Philippines. We wrote: “Assuming a continuation of the current trends, our projections show 6,000 total cases of Covid-19 by May 15, with 430 deaths.”. St. Therese Educational Foundation of Tacloban, Inc. In the next sections, we look at the trends in specific provinces and LGUs in the Philippines that are currently under ECQ, MECQ and GCQ. University of the Philippines Media and Public Relations Office The forecasts used current data (May 16) for cases and deaths, and projected the trends for 30 days. The pandemic is ongoing and continues to be a clear and present danger to us all. Considering that NCR is one of the most densely populated areas in the world, and in fact Manila, Pateros and Mandaluyong are top three among all cities and municipalities in the world (see Wikipedia), reducing mobility and proximity in NCR is a challenge. We recommend that the first priority is the testing of people in the workforce in the economic sectors initially reopened followed by testing in other sectors as the national economy is gradually reopened. For convenience in the presentation of results, the LGUs were grouped into three: the LGUs with the most number of Covid-19 cases in NCR (Group A), to the LGUs with the least number of Covid-19 cases (Group C), and those in between (group B). Geography is one area prone to acronyms. [1] They are widely used in different sectors of Philippine society. 6 and 6b), high risk is equivalent to Grade D, medium risk is equivalent to Grade C, and low risk is equivalent to Grade B (“Safe” is equivalent to Grade A). 5 published on April 28, we made short-term forecasts up to May 15 based on the current trends in transmission rates. On the other hand, the nationwide trend only shows the average for the entire country. Many business owners also use acronyms in their company names. The challenge with CT is that it is labor intensive and time consuming. The ECQ has been working. Laguna had a low rate of transmission (i.e. Any modifications in ECQ may cause an increase in the number of total cases and deaths. We urge government to also monitor the situation in Zamboanga City, Batangas and Davao City as the risk levels of the pandemic in these areas are still significant. Due to expected time delays in reporting current data (see our Report No. Government allowing limited practice of medical students would add needed manpower. Telephone number: (632) 8981-8500 Acronyms are even used to name TV shows. Download a copy of the forecast report here. The value of R for Cebu City has decreased below 1. We reiterate further our previous recommendation for government to expand further the testing capacity as we move towards opening certain sectors of the economy. UP Diliman, Quezon City 1101 Based on our data, the value of R for the entire Philippines has been decreasing, and in a number of provinces around the country, the spread of Covid-19 is either controlled or in a decelerating trend. Also, it is important that Congress, through its stimulus package, allocate funds to government and other higher education institutions such as the University of the Philippines (UP) for research on Covid-19. Often, due to long full names of the institutions in the Philippines, acronyms are then utilized to shorten the name of an institution or a company in the country, making it more convenient to the majority of the Philippine population, but sometimes causing ambiguity.

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